tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post7649865038582451595..comments2024-03-05T04:05:47.416-08:00Comments on The Wisdom of Ganesh: Desktop Predictions for 2007-2008prasadgchttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00179696156998026173noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-65356440218417209242007-03-10T05:11:00.000-08:002007-03-10T05:11:00.000-08:00To DCPerspective: It doesn't matter how mature Nov...To DCPerspective: It doesn't matter how mature Novell is from an OEM relations perspective. If consumer demand is for Mac OS X, then that's what the OEMs will fall over each other to offer.<BR/><BR/>To Wawrzyniec, Branislav and Uno: Apple will "never" OEM Mac OS X? Hmmm, never say never. Who knows, Apple's recent change of hardware architecture from PowerPC to Intel may have been highly strategic, clearing the decks for this move. We'll wait and see. I think Apple has grown out of being just a hardware company. And speaking of hardware revenues, they're not dependent on just Macs anymore. There's iPod, for example, and whatever else comes down the pipeline. Plus Microsoft (and Oracle?) has shown that one can be a software company and still make huge profits. If opening up Mac OS X to the PC OEM market can take them from 2% market share to 25%, I think they'd leap at the opportunity.<BR/><BR/>To vi: I can't argue dates with you. It's a matter of perception. As I said, the market is granular enough to have segments for whom Linux is already ready. Of course, there are others for whom it still isn't. It may take up to 2011 to be ready for all these segments, but Linux adoption doesn't have to be a big bang event. The market can be won segment by segment.prasadgchttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00179696156998026173noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-84150075806198855322007-03-09T13:00:00.000-08:002007-03-09T13:00:00.000-08:00Diversity provides gains in other areas as well. I...Diversity provides gains in other areas as well. I often think the reason there are no viable Linux viruses is the proliferation of distributions, each with its own set of vulnerabilities. Think what would happen if there were all the Linux distributions accompanied by all the UNIX variants and then, of course, by the different versions of Windows. A very different security landscape from today -- and to everyone's benefit! Everyone, even Windows users, benefits from diversity.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-52332314138635128512007-03-09T11:47:00.000-08:002007-03-09T11:47:00.000-08:00Well all you say about linux and its desktop readi...Well all you say about linux and its desktop readiness is true. Except the dates. Instead of "now" it should be in 2-3 years and instead of 2007-2008 it should be 2010-2011. By then linux might be ready for the desktop. I don't see any "Psychological" reasons for not switching to linux. Linux is not physically ready yet. It is getting there though - it should be ready by 2010.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-23734316439797506852007-03-08T19:53:00.000-08:002007-03-08T19:53:00.000-08:00Interesting!Interesting!raviharahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05015633906214428486noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-69312147141088859712007-03-08T19:49:00.000-08:002007-03-08T19:49:00.000-08:00I agree Apple will probably increase their market ...I agree Apple will probably increase their market share, but I really can't see why they would OEM MacOS-X. Apple make their money selling boxes, and their "it just works" reputation is dependent on their control of the hardware platform.<BR/><BR/>OpenSolaris is nowhere near being ready for the desktop, and Solaris 11, if released, probably wont make it either. Sun has a long tradition of making wonderful inventions that nobody uses because of awkward or not working user interfaces. That is a showstopper for desktop adoptation.<BR/><BR/>Linux would benfit from Apple increasing their market share, but I doubt Apple will be strong enough to get more than at best 10% and that will not be enough to make people believe that they actually have a choice when it comes to OS.<BR/>Besides Linux lacks too many commersial apps that people are used to, and people will not be inclined to relearn their current skills as they would have to do if they switched to Linux equivalents. To make that happen the Linux equivalents must be significantly better than what people already know, and currently they are not.<BR/><BR/>If Linux succeeds on the desktop or not is all about applications, and companies like Adobe will not port their Apps to Linux until some Linux distro have at least 5% of the market and comes preloaded when you buy your PC. The problem is that nobody in their right mind will preload Linux on their boxes if there are no commercial apps. <BR/><BR/>Other than that, I agree Linux is ready for the desktop. It works well, it is usable, and it even have eye candy that is better than that of Vista and MacOS-X, but I doubt that will help.Uno Engborghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05632785146908689230noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-83739377826296507912007-03-08T19:11:00.000-08:002007-03-08T19:11:00.000-08:00Nope- I disagree. The biggest wildcard out there i...Nope- I disagree. <BR/><BR/>The biggest wildcard out there is Novell. Novell is farther along in the OEM game than anybody else out there. When HP, Dell, and the other OEMs face up to the fact that they can no longer place all their sales in Microsofts hands they will turn to someone that has the ability and capability to support a desktop for the coporate world. Sled does this, and note that the support that comes from Novell on Sled does not tie itself to hardware. IE OEMs can sell pc's with SLED and simply hand support directly to Novell. <BR/><BR/>Iknow- the "community" does not like Novell at this point. In the long run it does not matter- what does matter is who the OEMs are comfortable with on the corporate side of the coin.DCPerspectivehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14983103365703799477noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-23395179269588303142007-03-08T18:49:00.000-08:002007-03-08T18:49:00.000-08:00Nonsense my dear fellow, Apple will never release ...Nonsense my dear fellow, Apple will never release OSX on PC. Sad but true. Who is going to buy their overpriced computers then? They would have to quit being a hardware company and become a software company and that is highly unlikely since they are doing so well selling hardware.Branislav Nakichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03901412907047488736noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-65337711646350504522007-03-08T18:27:00.000-08:002007-03-08T18:27:00.000-08:00Nice (and sound) analysis. Also plausible, I agree...Nice (and sound) analysis. Also plausible, I agree.<BR/><BR/>But... these scenarios have been played by the big ones for some time. I'd guess M$ Office is the key to avoiding all this.<BR/><BR/>Apple is viable as long as it has M$ Office; if Mac OS X starts to "annoy", M$ can simply pull the plug and Apple would have to rely on Openoffice.org (which, btw, is excellent, I use it everyday).<BR/><BR/>Apple has a solution of their own (I'm in the dark here, is it called Pager?); I hope people believe in Mac OS X' desktop enough so that not having Office is bearable.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-52049601101268510152007-03-08T17:30:00.000-08:002007-03-08T17:30:00.000-08:00Apple on Dell - nice joke. Apple don't need to mak...Apple on Dell - nice joke. Apple don't need to make MacOSX. Read this artice:<BR/>http://www.roughlydrafted.com/RD/RDM.Tech.Q1.07/9EF16A95-278E-40ED-9E00-FBEBD75207FB.html Apple can win without OEM.Wawrzekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12537908697081902130noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13639021.post-57406264388551123682007-03-08T16:04:00.000-08:002007-03-08T16:04:00.000-08:00I like!I like!Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11145089993778979583noreply@blogger.com